WHAT IS THE CORONAVIRUS
Coronaviruses are a group of viruses that cause diseases in mammals and birds. In humans, the virus causes respiratory infections which are typically mild including the common cold but rarer forms like SARS and MERS can be lethal.
Officially know as 2019-nCoV.
It's incubation period is 2 to 14 days. It kills 40 times more people than the common flu. The spread is at least twice the rate of the flu.
Patients can become infectious and sick even after recovering and tests show clear.
Spreads through water droplets in the air when someone coughs, sneezes, or breathes. It may be transmitted via bodily fluids.
Symptoms include coughing, fever, congestion, headaches, body aches, and a sore throat. Coronaviruses can, however, develop into viral pneumonia.
AROUND THE WORLD
After this #Coronavirus outbreak in #China, the #Chinese Government has quarantined the residents of Wuhan, a city of 11 Million people, and those in surrounding provinces, totaling 60 million in total. Public transportation is shut down, driving has been banned, and supermarket shelves are near empty. People are thrown in boxes in backs of government trucks and hauled off. Residential building and apartment doors are locked and welded shut to keep people inside.
Crematories in China have come under the management of government forces and concealment of the numbers of bodies burnt is taking place. The level of sulfur dioxide in the air (what is emitted when a human body is burnt) is at an alarming level. This eludes to the idea bodies are burnt rather than reported to hide the true number of deaths.
New York City has about 8 million people. It's already made it's way to the US. What if Manhattan were cut off, bridges closed, tunnels closed, airports shut down, subway stops running. As it stands, over 4000 are already quarantined in NYC. Are you ready? Let's start off with a simple list of items you should have on hand.
In the US, California, 7000 people have been ordered to self quarantine. 10+ were put in mandated lockdowns in US government controlled facilities. "Health Officers Orders "were given to law enforcement officers under sections of California Health and Safety Code that allows officers “enforce regulations requiring strict isolation, or quarantine if the action is necessary for the protection of the public health.”
As of March 7 there are 28 states with confirmed cases.
In Italy, 16 Million people have been quarantined. This is after the country suffered a mortality rate of 4%.
CHECKLIST (WHAT YOU NEED)
✔2 Gallons of Water per person per day, to last 21 days
✔Safety Glasses or Goggles
✔Thick Plastic Sheeting
✔Vitamin C, Immune booster, Antidiarrheal, Ibuprofen, thermometer, extra toothbrushes
✔Bleach, disinfectant spray, hand sanitizer
✔5 Gallon bucket, paper towles
✔Emergency Radio (crank/solar)
❌Not toilet paper
THE RIGHT MASK
If you read no further, remember these two words; "N95' & "ICERS".
🌬N95 refers to a disposable respirator and is the #CDC recommended #facemask for those at risk to the #coronavrius.
📝ICERS is an emergency planning template that is specific to each household. It outlines means to regain contact among friends/family following a crisis and creates an actionable plan for when to shelter in place or #bugout. The #ICERS Guide is available for downlaod at the link in our profile or at superessestraps.com
Myths: Even the CDC has suggests masks are only required for those that are sick or those with a doctor's request to wear. This may be an attempt to lessen panic or save supply for medical, political, law enforcement, or other persons are higher risk. Yes, a mask is far more effective at preventing the dispersment of viruses if worn by the person who is sick but that doesn't mean it should not be worn by those who are not. Masks can and do prevent droplet and aerosoled transmissions. They also act as a mental and physical barrier that will keep you from touching your mouth and nose. This argueable could be their greatest use for those who are not sick. Masks work. Anything helps.
Let's dive deeper into the #N95 ⤵️
🦠These used to be called dust/fume/mist (DFM) masks that were certified under a previous standard. N95 filters belong to a group of air purifying #particulatefilters. NIOSH (National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health in the U.S.) certifies these respirators.
🦠The "N95" is one of three types of filters - N, R and P. These refer to the type of resistance they have to the degrading of their filtering efficiency when exposed to different kinds of airborne particulates, mists, etc.
✔N - Not resistant to oil
✔R - Somewhat Resistant to oil
✔P - Strongly resistant to oil (oil Proof)
🦠The "95" in N95 refers to the filter efficiency. There are three levels of filter efficiencies -
✔99.97% (N100 or HEPA filter) tested against aerosol (fine mist) droplets 0.3 microns in diameter.
🦠Recommended for anyone who is at risk for with infections that are transmitted from inhaling #airborne droplets (e.g., #tuberculosis (TB); suspected of having #SARS, (severe acute respiratory syndrome), and other #viraloutbreaks.
CORONAVIRUS ALARMING FACTS
The coronavirus can take 4 weeks to kill, what will all this look like next month?
Those infected can carry the virus for up to 14 days before symptoms present, making it harder to contain.
Infection can spread by contact with the eyes making masks and hygiene alone ineffective.
High r-Nought rate of 2.6 meaning for every person infected they will pass the virus to 2.6 more people. This is twice the rate of the flu.
High Mortality Rate of 2.3%, higher than the flu.
Healthcare Facility Overload: the US has 2.8 beds per 1000 people. At the current rate of spread and at the current rate of hospitalizations; by May 10th all hospital beds in the US would be filled.
Masks Shortage: US supply of 12 million n95 masks and 30 million surgical masks for 18 million medical staff. If staff was required to wear a mask daily, in 6 hours all masks would be depleted.
TRACKING THE VIRUS
🦠Do you have the resources to track on going events? Our "Smartphone guide for SHTF" list suggested free apps, ways a phone can be used to start a fire or communicate without a signal, and other unique survival hacks for a phone.
🦠(i) pandemic control will rely less and less on conventional spatial barriers as the global transport network continues to expand
🦠(ii) the speed of modern transport means prompt surveillance and rapid reporting now play a critical role in preventing the spatial spread of a disease
🦠(iii) mathematical models will become central in identifying aberrant behavior in disease trends
🦠(iv) in as little a 17 hours a virus can reach any where in the world, upon contacting a population hub, a virus could infect 38% of the world causing fatalities within 29 hours
UNIQUE EDC FOR OUTBREAKS
We've got a pocket hank that could aid in these type of events...The unexpected can happen at anytime, unless you EDC or otherwise plan ahead, you will. You may not have a lifesaving tool on hand to shield from airborne infections, viral outbreaks or filter out toxins, gases, and smoke. Sweeping wildfires, 3rd world country style government delivered crowd dispersments gases/sprays, and sporous pandemic spreads are all possibilities.
This #filterbandana by @superessestraps serves as both a gas mask and water filter. Available at superessestraps.com or link in bio.
🌬It's a duel layer cotton hank with a 1 micron nominal hybrid filter built-in. The filter is centered in the middle of the hank between 2 cloth strainers to create a multi layer system to treat water on the fly or as particulate filter mask.
Dust Mask: Acts as a respirator mask to filter our airborne particulates to defend from infectious diseases and viral outbreaks. Removes harmful contaminates such as carcinogens, exhaust, and other pollutants (such as formaldehyde, toluene, hydrogen sulfide and ammonia). Also, filter poisonous gas such as benzene and carbinol.
📝TIPS: Fold in half to create triangular shape then hold center of hank against mouth/nose to aid in protection of harmful air contaminates.
It also serves as a field expedient water filter.
💧Water Filter: Non-woven, polymer fiber matrix filter, rated as a nominal 1 Micron filter. Serves as field expedient filter. Particulates and micro-organisms larger than 1 Micron sieve pours are captured and filtered from water. Pores and membranes allow water permeation (flux) and broad-spectrum separation on nano-particulates. Material is a food grade polyester hybrid (quick-drying) to inhibit mold growth.
SHELTER IN PLACE
If you are in an at Epidemic Crisis Zone (ECZ), an area where you are at great risk of contains infected peesona, you may want to consider Self-Imposed Reverse Quarantine (SIRQ). It's voluntarily separation from others. You'll need supplies to ride out the pandemic and stay at home. As it stands there are no ECZs in the US.
COMPARISION TO THE FLU/SARS
Coronavirus: 137,000+ infected | 5,00p+ deaths (updated: March 7th 2020) | 2.6 R0 | 2.3% to 5.9% Mortality average.
Latest Influenza Event: 30,000,000+ infected | 18,000+ deaths. | 1.3 R0 | 0.1% to 0.9% US & 2% Global Mortality
A direct look at the numbers for the timeframe since COVID-19 appeared to the Flu in the same time period. 0.06% of people with the flu died while 3.4% of people with COVID-19 died.
"This coronavirus’s fatality rate is less than SARS or the Spanish Flu but worse than the seasonal flu. This virus is also more contagious than the flu but less so than chicken pox or measles (measles is among the most contagious). Looking at the most recent numbers of 67,181 confirmed cases (with 66,497 of those in China) and 1,527 deaths ( with 1523 in China) that means about 2.3% of cases resulted in death (although China is likely “cooking the books” to make things look not as bad). There have only been 4 deaths outside of China out of the known cases which mean 0.611% of cases outside of China have resulted in death (good news for everyone but China). So the question you might have is why so many infections and deaths in China. I think because the symptoms are like an ordinary cold that there was a delay in realizing that they were dealing with something new. This delay would have lead to further spreading in the high population density of a Chinese city. The deaths in China could also be higher because of poorer nutrition, lung conditions (China is notorious for air pollution in the cities), and a healthcare system overwhelmed by the shear number of cases."
Regardless of which is worse, both the coronavirus and the flu highlight the need for people to prepare in advance for the problems they will face in the future.
When it comes to your personal infectious disease prevention, let's emphasize again some items to consider having on hand: Tyvek suit, nitrile gloves, N95 disposable mask, shoe-boot covers, safety goggles, hand sanitizer, bleach, disinfectant wipes, full face respirator mask, healthcare bleach germicidal spray, spill-resistant work apron, portable mini Lyson and handgel containers.
Don't forget, while hand sanitizer is one option, the best way to disinfect your hands is through effective and thorough use of soap and water.
Also, be careful about touching your face. The average person touches their face over 250 times daily. Each time we touch our face, we are potentially transferring viruses and bacteria to our eyes, mouth, and respiratory system.
Cover your mouth when your cough, keep your fingers out of your eyes and mouth, stay away from high population centers, don't fret, we are no where near SHTF yet but it doesn't hurt to plan and prepare.
THE 3 POSSIBLE OUTCOMES
There are three outcomes of this pandemic, read each below and tell us where you think this ends...
1️⃣Outcome 1: The outbreak never really ends. This would occur in one of 3 ways. A. It becomes milder and can be treated without medical attention. B. It becomes seasonal like the flu and can be managed. C. It continues at it's current growth rate and globally alters everyday life; crippling economies, causing breakdown of government, civil unrest, mass casualties, and apocalyptic lifestyle.
2️⃣Outcome 2: Through public-health interventions, the coronavirus plays itself out. This will allow currently infected persons to either recover or succumb to disease and prevent additional exposures via quarantines, travel restrictions, public-information campaigns, and airport screenings until there are no longer new cases.
3️⃣Outcome 3: Drug companies manufacture a vaccine. Tests are currently underway using preexisting vaccines and manufacturing new vaccines (could take up to 20 years historically) based on the genetic code of the virus.
Experts believe that outcome 1B is most likely in that the coronavirus will become a seasonal concern as it's possible the virus is only strengthened during cooler periods due to a gel like shield that is protects it in cold temperatures allowing the virus to last longer and spread further during winter.
Are you prepared for all outcomes?
US PREVENTIVE STEPS
🤢11 Holding Sites, to house returning citizens for 14 days. Good call or is it overkill?
🦠The Department of Defense approved 11 'installation sites' near major airports around the US.
🦠They will be used if and when hospitals are unable to accommodate passengers in their own quarantine sites.
🦠The airports are located in Hawaii, Illinois, Texas , California , Georgia, New York, Washington state, Washington DC, New Jersey and Michigan.
🦠Americans returning from the coronavirus outbreak epicenter in Wuhan, China, are required to spend 14 days under quarantine.
🦠Those returning from China who did not visit Wuhan are subject to 14 days of self-isolation in their homes.
🦠Foreign nationals who have traveled to China in the last 14 days are not allowed into the US.
LIFESPAN ON SURFACES
Q: Am I at risk for novel coronavirus from a package or products shipping from China?
A: Yes, but only if you are receiving the package directly from China. For example, Amazon sells many items made in China but they enter a distribution center and are repackaged prior to be shipped to you. If you order from Ebay or elsewhere and the items is being shipped directly from China to your doorsteps: there may be a risk.
📲Download our ICERS template and plan ahead for crisis.
The CDC as of last week said there was "no risk" but once this news broke about the #coronavirus living 9 days on surfaces, I see the CDC has updated their response to "low risk". On average, coronaviruses can live on surfaces for between four and five days, but some could survive for up to nine days outside of the body at room temperature. Low temperature, high air humidity, and placement on glass, metal, plastic; all further increase their lifespan.